Augsburg logo
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz

Simons (1')
Haidara (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amiri (52'), Burkardt (58')
Maloney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (5.95%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
55.2% (0.036999999999999 0.04)22.93% (0.189 0.19)21.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.933 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-1.093 -1.09)45.07% (1.094 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-1.056 -1.06)67.41% (1.058 1.06)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.371 -0.37)16.19% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.682 -0.68)45.68% (0.684 0.68)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.819 -0.82)34.67% (0.82 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.881 -0.88)71.4% (0.881 0.88)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 55.19%
    Mainz 05 21.88%
    Draw 22.92%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.346 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig
57.9%
Draw
36.8%
Mainz 05
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Mainz
0-2
RB Leipzig

Nebel (90+1')
Simons (20'), Orban (37')
Haidara (53'), Vermeeren (60'), Elmas (89')
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Mainz
Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
1-1
RB Leipzig
Nkunku (80')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!
OSZAR »