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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

St Pauli
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stach (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHoffenheim
43.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)31.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.17% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)69.4% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.012 0.01)28.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 43.68%
    Hoffenheim 31.26%
    Draw 25.06%
St PauliDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Hoffenheim

St Pauli
30.2%
Draw
17.7%
Hoffenheim
52.1%
96
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
0-2
St Pauli
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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