Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Corinthians

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Corinthians

Pikachu (49', 49'), Tinga (55', 55')
Pochettino (28'), Pochettino (28'), Welison (62'), Welison (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
67.27% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.64% (0.009999999999998 0.01)12.09% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.63% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.012 -0.01)14.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.82% (0.020000000000003 0.02)51.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.54% (0.013 0.01)85.46% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 67.26%
    Corinthians 12.09%
    Draw 20.64%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 13.83%
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 67.26%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.09%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Corinthians

Fortaleza
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Corinthians
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Alberto (40')
Verissimo (38'), Moscardo (63'), Augusto (90+5')
Welison (22')
Britez (57'), Guilherme (67'), Pacheco (88')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
2-1
Corinthians
Martin Lucero (26'), Pikachu (90+4')
Marinho (29')
Pedrinho (33')
Gil (87'), Mendez (90+3')
May 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Aug 21, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
1-0
Corinthians
Moises (65')
Sasha (17')

Ramiro (22'), Giuliano (24'), Pereira (38')
May 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Corinthians
1-0
Fortaleza
Jussa (53' og.)
Willian (86')

Felipe (58'), de Vargas (79'), Ceballos (86')
OSZAR »