Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Sligo Rovers

Shelbourne
3 - 2
Sligo

Martin (34', 40', 57')
Wilson (20'), Caffrey (76'), O'Sullivan (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McElroy (3'), Elding (59')
Reynolds (11'), Fitzgerald (89'), McElroy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Drogheda
Monday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 0-1 Sligo
Friday, May 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers
65.85% (0.358 0.36)20.24% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)13.91% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.764 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (-0.567 -0.57)46.36% (0.565 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (-0.536 -0.54)68.65% (0.535 0.53)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)13.23% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-0.14 -0.14)40% (0.137 0.14)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (-0.837 -0.84)44.84% (0.83300000000001 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.679 -0.68)80.81% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 65.84%
    Sligo Rovers 13.91%
    Draw 20.24%
ShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers
2-0 @ 12.13% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 12% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.14% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 65.84%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.91%

How you voted: Shelbourne vs Sligo

Shelbourne
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sligo Rovers
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sligo
1-2
Shelbourne
Hutchinson (45+1')
Elding (45'), Elding (45'), Mahon (80'), Hakiki (85')
Kavanagh (72')
Martin (3'), McInroy (12')
Coyle (60'), Norris (79'), Boyd (90'), Boyd (90+3')
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Shelbourne
0-0
Sligo
Coote (68'), Griffin (75'), Smith (90+3')
Fitzgerald (79'), Morahan (81')
Aug 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Sligo
2-1
Shelbourne
Fitzgerald (24'), Waweru (65')
Hutchinson (19'), Casey (20')
Caffrey (56')
May 31, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Shelbourne
1-2
Sligo
Boyd (58')
Barrett (31'), Coyle (59')
Barlow (22'), Hartmann (69')
Reynolds (27'), Russell (28'), Malley (55'), Denham (61'), Wilson (72'), Morahan (90+1'), Chapman (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sligo
0-1
Shelbourne

Wiggett (26'), Pijnaker (52'), Hartmann (90+7')
O'Sullivan (12')
Smith (22'), O'Sullivan (45'), Lunney (53'), Farrell (90+5')
OSZAR »