Real Salt Lake
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 25, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Salt Lake
2 - 3
Vancouver

Gozo (1', 1'), Luna (4', 4')
Agade (45+4'), Agade (45+4'), Caliskan (59'), Caliskan (59'), Marczuk (61'), Marczuk (61'), Luna (65'), Luna (65'), Eneli (90+4'), Eneli (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-4)
White (20', 20', 25' pen., 25' pen.), Vite (90', 90')
Ahmed (77'), Ahmed (77'), Priso-Mbongue (82'), Priso-Mbongue (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawVancouver Whitecaps
48.39% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)26.88% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.4% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05)48.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.045000000000002 0.05)70.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.93% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.066000000000003 0.07)52.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 48.39%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 26.88%
    Draw 24.72%
Real Salt LakeDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.39%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.88%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Vancouver

Real Salt Lake
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps
54.5%
11
Head to Head
May 4, 2025 2.30am
Vancouver
2-1
Salt Lake
Nelson (20'), Blackmon (70')
Rios (64')
Luna (90+6' pen.)
Ojeda (22'), Glad (50'), Luna (61')
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Salt Lake
2-1
Vancouver
Luna (73'), Boehmer (83' og.)
Brown (29'), Katranis (33')
Gauld (58')
Picault (13'), Blackmon (70'), Adekugbe (72'), Ahmed (85'), Berhalter (90+2')
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Vancouver
1-2
Salt Lake
Kreilach (33')
Julio (70'), Katranis (76')
Katranis (47'), Vera (90+6'), MacMath (90+9')
Sep 24, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-1
Vancouver
Vera (47'), Glad (65')
Brody (74'), Palacio (81'), Vera (90+4')
White (17')
Raposo (90+14'), Adekugbe (90+11')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30am
OSZAR »