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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Al-Nassr

Al Hassan (90' og.)
Bonaventura (28'), Al-Sibyani (45'), Hamdallah (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Laporte (69'), Ronaldo (90+7' pen.)
Al-Najdi (31'), Talisca (50'), Alawjami (79'), Simakan (90+5')
Simakan (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Shabab
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah
Saturday, October 5 at 4.15pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Nassr

Al Shabab have been consistent this season, but they have lacked clinical finishing, scoring over one goal in only one game so far, and this could be their downfall against an Al-Nassr team that boasts the third-best attack in the league and has dominated this fixture in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
25% (0.562 0.56) 22.5% (0.215 0.22) 52.49% (-0.782 -0.78)
Both teams to score 60.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (-0.452 -0.45)39.76% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (-0.471 -0.47)62.12% (0.466 0.47)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.19900000000001 0.2)29.07% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (0.246 0.25)64.99% (-0.25 -0.25)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (-0.42 -0.42)15.24% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08% (-0.794 -0.79)43.91% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 25%
    Al-Nassr 52.49%
    Draw 22.5%
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 25%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.86% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.49%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
13.5%
Draw
3.8%
Al-Nassr
82.7%
52
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Al Shabab
2-3
Al-Nassr
Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (90+12')
Ronaldo (21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')
Aug 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Nassr
4-0
Al Shabab
Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad31235372324074
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal31215588375168
3Al-Nassr31196673363763
4Al Quadisiya31195747272062
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli31194863323161
6Al ShababAl Shabab31166958372154
7Al Ettifaq31127123943-443
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun31118123433141
9Al Riyadh31108133445-1138
10Damac3197153748-1134
11Al Khaleej3197153651-1534
12Al Kholood31104173759-2234
13Al Fateh3196164055-1533
14Al Fayha31712122545-2033
15Al WahdaAl Wahda3195173961-2232
16Al Orubah3193192865-3730
17Al Okhdood3177172952-2328
18Al RaedAl Raed3163223960-2121


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