Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Elversberg
61% ( -0.39)	20.68% ( 0.12)	18.31% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 56.47% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

-0.07)

39.97% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

-0.08)

62.34% (

0.08)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

-0.13)

12.67% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.16% (

-0.28)

38.83% (

0.28)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

0.26)

35.33% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.27)

72.09% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 61%

Elversberg 18.31%

Draw 20.68%

FC Koln	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 61%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 5% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.31%