Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
May 3, 2025 at 1pm UK
Mustapekka Areena
Gnistan2 - 0Mariehamn
Hanninen (3', 6')
Latonen (45+2')
Latonen (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lindgren (35')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and IFK Mariehamn.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gnistan 1-2 KuPS
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
4
Last Game: Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
6
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
54.1% ( 0.13) | 23.28% ( 0.19) | 22.62% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
