Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
36.3% | 24.65% | 39.06% |
Both teams to score 58.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% | 44.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.09% | 23.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.87% | 58.13% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% | 22.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.97% | 56.03% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 8.21% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.06% |