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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 1, 2024 at 9.28am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne City

Macarthur
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Oliveira (47', 57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nabbout (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.01%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
40.59% (0.277 0.28)21.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)37.96% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)
Both teams to score 71.61% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.54% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.11399999999999 0.11)14.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.22199999999999 0.22)43.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)15.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.175 -0.18)45.1% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 40.59%
    Melbourne City 37.96%
    Draw 21.45%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 37.96%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-3
Macarthur
MacLaren (58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Sakhi (71')
Davila (61'), Hollman (83'), Millar (88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Mar 19, 2023 8am
Gameweek 21
Macarthur
1-1
Melbourne City
Romero (26')
Aspropotamitis (66' og.)
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Melbourne City
6-1
Macarthur
> Preview
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
Mar 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
3-1
Macarthur
Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
OSZAR »