Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
44.96% (-0.738 -0.74)23.01% (0.206 0.21)32.03% (0.53 0.53)
Both teams to score 63.81% (-0.5 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.768 -0.77)37.25% (0.766 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)59.46% (0.832 0.83)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)17.02% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (-1.04 -1.04)47.16% (1.037 1.04)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)23.1% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)56.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.96%
    Sydney FC 32.03%
    Draw 23%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.125 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.065 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.03%

How you voted: Victory vs Sydney FC

Melbourne Victory
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Sydney FC
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Victory
3-0
Sydney FC
Arzani (20'), Machach (24'), Fornaroli (57')
Traore (48'), Brimmer (56'), Folami (66'), Fornaroli (89')

King (44'), Grant (71')
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
0-2
Victory

Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
Caceres (35')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
2-3
Victory
Mak (15'), Donachie (79')
D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')
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