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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Bodnar (44'), Beevers (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piscopo (59'), Goodwin (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 28 at 2am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
40.6% (0.223 0.22)25.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)34.16% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (0.067 0.07)47.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (0.062000000000001 0.06)69.33% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.14099999999999 0.14)23.04% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.204 0.2)56.86% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.56% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.115 -0.12)61.77% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 40.6%
    Newcastle Jets 34.16%
    Draw 25.23%
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Newcastle Jets
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7am
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Perth Glory
Elsey (59'), Mikeltadze (90+3')
Elsey (54')
McEneff (73' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 7.05am
Newcastle Jets
6-1
Perth Glory
Penha (21', 50'), Mikeltadze (31', 37', 78' pen.), Yuel (81')
Jurman (41'), Thurgate (52')
Bramwell (69')
Gorman (13')
Mar 30, 2022 11.40am
Perth Glory
0-0
Newcastle Jets

Reddy (90+1'), Colli (90+2')

Jurman (34'), Penha (73'), Thurgate (82')
Penha (90+2')
Jun 5, 2021 10.10am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Perth Glory
Aspropotamitis (70' og.)
Topor-Stanley (28'), Millar (53'), Boogaard (56')
Fornaroli (21')
Ingham (44'), Armiento (45+1'), Geria (49'), Rawlins (76')
Apr 13, 2021 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Perth Glory
O'Donovan (67' pen.)
Stamatelopoulos (12'), Millar (38')
Chianese (61')
Fornaroli (41'), Timmins (50')
OSZAR »