Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
34.23% (![]() | 23.44% (![]() | 42.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.41% (![]() | 38.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.11% (![]() | 60.89% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% (![]() | 22.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% (![]() | 56.08% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% (![]() | 18.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% (![]() | 49.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 10.5% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |