Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Sierra Leone national football team

Zambia
3 - 2
Sierra Leone

Musonda (28'), Kampamba (70'), Kangwa (85')
Chaiwa (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kargbo (33'), Mustapha (73')
Mustapha (90+4')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zambia and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-0 Zambia
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-0 Chad
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawSierra Leone
52.66% (-0.485 -0.48)25.82% (0.246 0.25)21.51% (0.245 0.25)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (-0.631 -0.63)56.89% (0.635 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (-0.506 -0.51)77.81% (0.51100000000001 0.51)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (-0.461 -0.46)21.68% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (-0.71100000000001 -0.71)54.82% (0.716 0.72)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)41.72% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)78.19% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 52.65%
    Sierra Leone 21.51%
    Draw 25.82%
ZambiaDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.65%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.218 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.51%

How you voted: Zambia vs Sierra Leone

Zambia
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Sierra Leone
18.2%
11
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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