Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Ivory Coast
2 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

Fofana (4'), Krasso (58')
N'Dicka (29'), Sangare (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cassama (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 5-1 Sierra Leone
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Last Game: Mali 6-2 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
70.48% ( 1.65)	18.27% ( -0.91)	11.25% ( -0.74)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.46%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.25%