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Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
South Africa national football team

Morocco
0 - 2
South Africa


Amrabat (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Makgopa (57'), Mokoena (90+5')
Modiba (29'), Kekana (36'), Mvala (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Morocco and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Tunisia
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.43%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
60.19% (0.283 0.28)25.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)14.55% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 36.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.89% (0.025999999999996 0.03)63.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.46% (0.02 0.02)82.54% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.125 0.13)21.14% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.194 0.19)53.99% (-0.195 -0.2)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.92% (-0.266 -0.27)54.08% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.68% (-0.164 -0.16)87.32% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 60.18%
    South Africa 14.55%
    Draw 25.25%
MoroccoDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 17.76% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.8% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.18%
0-0 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.55%

How you voted: 1st Group F vs 2nd Group E

1st Group F
82.4%
Draw
6.5%
2nd Group E
11.1%
108
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
South Africa
2-1
Morocco
Munir (5' og.), Lepasa (48')
Tau (10'), Mayambela (90+4')
Ziyech (60')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-1
South Africa
En-Nesyri (51'), El Kaabi (87')
Foster (8')
Foster (24'), Sithole (44'), Williams (81')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
0-1
Morocco

Zwane (18'), Zungu (31')
Boussoufa (90')
> Match Report
Jan 27, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-2
South Africa
El Adoua, Elhafidi
Mahlangu, Sangweni
> Match Report
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