MX23RW : Tuesday, May 27 23:12:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 25, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nya Gamla Ullevi
Malmo

Goteborg
1 - 0
Malmo

Thordarson (58')
Jagne (20'), Erlingmark (75'), (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Karlsson (32'), Berg Johnsen (90+2'), Ali (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Degerfors 1-3 Goteborg
Monday, May 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-0 AIK
Thursday, May 22 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: IFK Goteborg 2-1 Malmo

Buoyed by victory on the road earlier in the week, Goteborg should be quietly confident of pulling off an upset at Gamla Ullevi this weekend. Handed less time to recover from their last fixture and with a number of key players either injured or out of form, Malmo could suffer a shock defeat on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that IFK Goteborg would win this match.

Result
IFK GoteborgDrawMalmo
32.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 25.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 42.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.148 0.15)47.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.136 0.14)70.05% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.12% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (0.123 0.12)63.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.060000000000002 0.06)22.47% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.090000000000003 0.09)56.02% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    IFK Goteborg 32.24%
    Malmo 42.45%
    Draw 25.29%
IFK GoteborgDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.24%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.45%

How you voted: Goteborg vs Malmo

IFK Goteborg
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Malmo
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 6.10pm
Gameweek 28
Malmo
2-1
Goteborg
Ali (59'), Bolin (77')
Christiansen (41'), Rydstrom (42'), Berg Johnsen (90+1'), Ali (90+3')
Skjellerup (25')
Svensson (62'), (90+6')
May 13, 2024 6.10pm
Gameweek 8
Goteborg
0-3
Malmo

Ohlsson (67'), Pyndt (73')
Botheim (34'), Rieks (42'), Berg Johnsen (88')
Busanello (37')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Malmo
2-2
Goteborg
Kiese Thelin (49' pen.), Olsson (90+7')
Jansson (77'), Pena (90+1')
Mucolli (13', 36')
Carlen (55'), Thordarson (79'), Norlin (90+1')
Apr 17, 2023 6.10pm
Oct 17, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 26
Goteborg
2-1
Malmo
Norlin (70'), Johansson (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Mjallby AIF1283125111427
2AIK FotbollAIK12750179826
3ElfsborgElfsborg1181225131225
4HammarbyHammarby127322191224
5MalmoMalmo125431610619
6IFK GoteborgGoteborg115151315-216
7GAISGAIS113621210215
8HackenHacken114341718-115
9IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping114252020014
10Degerfors114161620-413
11Djurgardens IFDjurgarden10334713-612
12BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna103161215-310
13Halmstads BKHalmstad113171025-1510
14SiriusSirius112361419-59
15Oster11227815-78
16Varnamo110381122-113


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