Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 13, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Studenternas IP

Sirius
3 - 1
GAIS

Castegren (40'), Heier (55'), Salech (90+2')
Castegren (24'), Lindberg (60'), Stensson (87'), Widgren (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henriksson (51')
Boudri (24'), Henriksson (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and GAIS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sirius

All competitions
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 3-2 Sirius
Saturday, July 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

GAIS

All competitions
Last Game: GAIS 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, July 7 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawGAIS
48.67% (0.127 0.13)23.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)27.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.121 -0.12)41.96% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.121 -0.12)64.36% (0.119 0.12)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.42% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.86% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
GAIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)28.12% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (-0.198 -0.2)63.8% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 48.67%
    GAIS 27.84%
    Draw 23.49%
SiriusDrawGAIS
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Sirius vs GAIS

Sirius
26.1%
Draw
30.4%
GAIS
43.5%
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