Lithuania national football team
Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Iceland national football team

Lithuania
0 - 0
Iceland

FT
Iceland win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Baltic Cup clash between Lithuania and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

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Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
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Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Iceland
Friday, November 11 at 11am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawIceland
35.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.95% (0.010000000000002 0.01)38.68% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.3% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)50.05% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)72.02% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.24% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.052 -0.05)62.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 35.37%
    Iceland 38.68%
    Draw 25.95%
LithuaniaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.37%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.68%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Iceland

Lithuania
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Iceland
73.9%
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