America Mineiro

1 - 4

Palmeiras

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.