Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 1, 2022 at 7pm UK
Mineirão
Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Fluminense

Hulk (41', 65' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Juventude
Wednesday, September 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
50.69% (-1.695 -1.7)24.77% (0.526 0.53)24.53% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (-1.079 -1.08)50.17% (1.086 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.86% (-0.968 -0.97)72.13% (0.974 0.97)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-1.088 -1.09)19.8% (1.094 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-1.798 -1.8)51.86% (1.803 1.8)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (0.453 0.45)35.08% (-0.448 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (0.471 0.47)71.83% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 50.68%
    Fluminense 24.54%
    Draw 24.77%
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.299 0.3)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 1.30am
Fluminense
5-3
Atletico Mineiro
Arias (18'), Cano (29', 58'), Xavier (37'), Henrique (63')
Andre (46'), Ganso (72'), Fabio (89')
Hulk (35'), Jair (45+4'), Sasha (54')
Silva (41'), Antonio Dias (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (83')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Fluminense
Hulk (38' pen., 60')
Silva (22'), Rodrigues de Souza (30'), Keno (44'), Alonso (56'), Costa (90+3'), Jair (90+4')
Manoel (14')
Xavier (39'), Braz (46'), Martins (86')
Aug 24, 2021 12am
Fluminense
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Fred (25' pen.)
Henrique (15'), Hernandez (57'), Yago (63')
Sasha (84')
Hulk (22'), Silva (38')
Feb 11, 2021 12.30am
Fluminense
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Rodrigues de Souza (82')
Oct 15, 2020 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Fluminense
Arana (52')
Rever (27'), Rodrigues de Souza (75'), Rabello (77')
Paulista (20')
Cardoso (75')
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