Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Criciuma
72.69% ( 0.11)	17.3% ( -0.04)	10.01% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73% (

-0.05)

43.27% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33% (

-0.05)

65.66% (

0.06)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.53% (

0.02)

10.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.9% (

0.03)

34.1% (

-0.03)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.42% (

-0.18)

49.58% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.63% (

-0.13)

84.37% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 72.67%

Criciuma 10.02%

Draw 17.3%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Criciuma
2-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 72.67%	1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 17.3%	0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 10.02%