Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Sep 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians
Gremio

Corinthians
4 - 4
Gremio

Santos (45' pen., 45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4', 45+4'), Alberto (45+6', 45+6'), Giuliano (67', 67')
Santos (40'), Santos (40')
FT(HT: 6-4)
Nathan (21', 21'), Cristaldo (27', 27'), Galdino (51', 51'), Suarez (58', 58')
Kannemann (54'), Kannemann (54')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Corinthians
Thursday, September 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Gremio
Friday, September 15 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawGremio
44.91% (-1.124 -1.12)27.42% (-0.166 -0.17)27.67% (1.291 1.29)
Both teams to score 46.92% (1.322 1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (1.253 1.25)58.14% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.976 0.98)78.8% (-0.973 -0.97)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.8% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.012 0.01)60.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (1.777 1.78)36.77% (-1.773 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (1.734 1.73)73.56% (-1.732 -1.73)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 44.91%
    Gremio 27.67%
    Draw 27.41%
CorinthiansDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.095 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.309 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.227 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.199 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Gremio

Corinthians
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Gremio
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Corinthians
1-1
Gremio
Augusto (86')
Guedes (45+1')
Souza (39')
Kannemann (11'), Rafinha (15'), Geromel (45+1')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians
Souza (82')
Ramos (89'), Victor (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Cantillo (14'), Otero (42')
Marllon (30'), Otero (66')
Mendes (17')
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-0
Corinthians
Kannemann (45+3'), Henrique (81')
Gabriel (38'), Gil (77'), Natel (90+3')
Oct 5, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 23
Gremio
0-0
Corinthians
Souza (25'), Matheus (58'), Everton (72')
Ramos (87'), Sornoza (88')
OSZAR »