Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro

Vasco
0 - 1
Cruzeiro

FT(HT: 0-1)
Machado (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, July 2 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
44.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)76.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)34.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.72% (0.032999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 44.05%
    Cruzeiro 29.14%
    Draw 26.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Vasco vs Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama
20.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cruzeiro
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 36
Vasco
1-0
Cruzeiro
Guarin (10')
Richard (45'), Rossi (62'), Guarin (92')

Ederson (45'), Gabriel (94'), Fred (95')
Sep 1, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 17
Cruzeiro
1-0
Vasco
Mauricio (80')
Robinho (27'), Henrique (56'), Gabriel (81')

Danilo (55'), Richard (58'), Magno (70'), Rossi (74')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
2-0
Cruzeiro
Pikachu (49'), Lopez (70')
Andrey (22'), Castan (47'), Werley (63'), Lopez (63'), Gustavo (69')

Silva (38'), Sassa (71')
Mancuello (72')
Jun 7, 2018 1.45am
Cruzeiro
1-1
Vasco
Raniel (61')
Edilson (87')
Andrey (22')
Wagner (44')
May 3, 2018 1.45am
-
Vasco
0-4
Cruzeiro

Henrique (56')
Leo (10'), Neves (25'), Sassa (33', 55')
Romero (53')
OSZAR »