Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fluminense

Vasco
4 - 2
Fluminense

Praxedes (23'), Vegetti (50'), Pec (74', 85')
Vegetti (15'), Luis Rodriguez (39'), Pec (73'), Gabriel (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marcelo (46'), Lima (56')
Santos (34')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFluminense
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)73.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.03% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)28.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 39.09%
    Fluminense 34.52%
    Draw 26.37%
Vasco da GamaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.52%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 1am
Gameweek 4
Fluminense
1-1
Vasco
Dec 13, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 25
Vasco
1-1
Fluminense
Cano (90+2')
Jadson (15'), Sa Pinto (20'), Torres (40'), Borges (45'), Matos (69'), Gil (81'), Magno (83')
Silva (9')
Silva (19'), Yago (88')
Aug 29, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 6
Fluminense
2-1
Vasco
Moreira (3'), Fred (82')
Yuri (16'), Fred (90+2'), Juliao (90+4'), Silva (90+6')
Magno (86')
Bastos (12')
Magno (90+4')
Nov 2, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Fluminense
0-0
Vasco
Nino (31'), Gonzalez (70')
Bruno (21'), Marrony (33'), Richard (86')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Vasco
2-1
Fluminense
Castan (67'), Cesar (76')
Pikachu (21'), Marrony (36'), Reis (92'), Henrique (93')
Pedro (45')
Simoes (21'), Digao (36'), Silva (61')
Digao (57'), Frazan (74')
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