Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Sao Paulo

Vasco
4 - 1
Sao Paulo

Franco (33' og., 33' og.), Estrella de Paiva (45+3', 45+3'), Viana da Silva Gama (80', 80'), David (90+3', 90+3')
Estrella de Paiva (39'), Estrella de Paiva (39'), Maicon (77'), Maicon (77'), Rossi (88'), Rossi (88')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Silva (11', 11')
Lanza (36'), Lanza (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Vasco
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawSao Paulo
25.22% (-0.149 -0.15)25.01% (0.004999999999999 0)49.77% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.14 -0.14)50.55% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.126 -0.13)72.47% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)34.7% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (-0.214 -0.21)71.43% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 25.22%
    Sao Paulo 49.77%
    Draw 25%
Vasco da GamaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 7.46%
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.22%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 8.95% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.77%

How you voted: Vasco vs Sao Paulo

Vasco da Gama
26.7%
Draw
20.0%
Sao Paulo
53.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 26
Vasco
0-0
Sao Paulo
Paulinho (37'), Diaz (38'), Pele (45'), Maicon (73'), Figueiredo (90+5')
Mendes (45+2')
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
4-2
Vasco
Calleri (24'), Nestor (42'), Beraldo (89'), Juan (90+2')
Barros (45'), Galarza (83')
Barros (35'), Figueiredo (49'), Jair (75'), Raul (83')
Nov 22, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sao Paulo
1-1
Vasco
Luciano (34')
Brenner (28'), Hernanes (90')
Cano (19')
Jadson (4'), Pikachu (81'), Santos (90+2'), Andrey (90+7')
Aug 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Vasco
2-1
Sao Paulo
Cano (62', 75')
Gomes (47'), Tenorio (66')
Reinaldo (90+7' pen.)
Gomes (27'), Liziero (36'), Pablo (38'), Reinaldo (69'), Arboleda (82')
Nov 28, 2019 11.30pm
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
1-0
Vasco
Antony (6')
Tche (42'), Juanfran (53'), Reinaldo (54'), Luan (77')

Junior (45'), Raul (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


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