Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
Botafogo logo

Vitoria
0 - 1
Botafogo


Janderson (90+10'), Muriel (90+8'), Janderson (90+10'), Muriel (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Savarino (62', 62')
Eduardo (37'), Eduardo (37'), Gregore (77'), Ponte (77'), Hernandez (90+7'), Hernandez (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Criciuma
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 27.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Botafogo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
VitoriaDrawBotafogo
27.86% (-0.113 -0.11)27.92% (0.098000000000003 0.1)44.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.66% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (-0.392 -0.39)59.79% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (-0.299 -0.3)80.08% (0.298 0.3)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-0.311 -0.31)37.52% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-0.305 -0.31)74.3% (0.30300000000001 0.3)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (-0.173 -0.17)26.91% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.229 -0.23)62.24% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 27.86%
    Botafogo 44.21%
    Draw 27.91%
VitoriaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.09% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 13.25% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 44.21%

How you voted: Vitoria vs Botafogo

Vitoria
16.2%
Draw
10.8%
Botafogo
73.0%
37
Head to Head
May 22, 2024 11pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Vitoria
1-2
Botafogo
Junior (78')
Carpini (0'), Matheuzinho (55'), Junior (83')
Henrique (45+2'), Santos (63')
Halter (51'), John (53'), Cuiabano (65'), Tche (77'), Hugo (82')
> Preview
May 2, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Botafogo  
vs.
  Vitoria
Sep 23, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 26
Vitoria
3-4
Botafogo
Fernandes (1'), Fabiano (52'), Mauricio (88')
Mauricio (77')
Kieza (24'), Lindoso (43'), Ramon (54' og.), Lima (64')
Lima (7'), Rabello (38'), Marcinho (59'), Carli (88')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Botafogo
1-1
Vitoria
Kieza (44')
Fernandes (59')
Denilson (39')
Rhayner (10'), Jeferson (49'), Neilton (87'), Yago (92')
OSZAR »