Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 19, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 2
Union Berlin

Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
55.65%	22.03%	22.32%

Both teams to score 58.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.51%

40.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.13%

62.87%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54%

14.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.58%

42.42%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3%

31.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88%

68.12%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 55.65%

Union Berlin 22.32%

Draw 22.03%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.65%	1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund

87.4%

Draw

9.2%

Union Berlin

3.4%