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Bundesliga

Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Heidenheim
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Beste (59')
Pieringer (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leite (40'), Kral (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
44.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)25.66% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)29.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)72.4% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)22.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.03% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)31.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 44.79%
    Union Berlin 29.55%
    Draw 25.65%
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.79%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Union Berlin

Heidenheim
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Union Berlin
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Union Berlin
2-0
Heidenheim
Puchacz (7'), Michel (52')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Heidenheim
2-1
Union Berlin
Glatzel (48'), Schnatterer (56')
Griesbeck (8')
Zulj (23')
Hubner (58'), Mane (88'), Trimmel (90')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Gikiewicz (90')
Andersson (52'), Schmiedebach (59'), Trimmel (90')
Glatzel (57')
Glatzel (7'), Griesbeck (41'), Andrich (62'), Theuerkauf (90')
Apr 21, 2018 12pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Prince Redondo (74')
Leistner (55')
Dovedan (58')
Theuerkauf (90')
Nov 18, 2017 12pm
Heidenheim
4-3
Union Berlin
Feick (44'), Verhoek (61', 74'), Schnatterer (66')
Thiel (78'), Philp (90')
Polter (63' pen.), Skrzybski (72', 75')
Kreilach (32'), Pedersen (60')
OSZAR »