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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Heidenheim

St Pauli
0 - 2
Heidenheim


Irvine (18'), Wagner (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wanner (66'), Schoppner (82')
Maloney (22'), Traore (74'), Gimber (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hallescher 2-3 St Pauli
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHeidenheim
52.79% (-0.29 -0.29)23.63% (0.223 0.22)23.58% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.904 -0.9)46.23% (0.901 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.858 -0.86)68.52% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (-0.43799999999999 -0.44)17.48% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (-0.768 -0.77)47.96% (0.767 0.77)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.438 -0.44)33.76% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.478 -0.48)70.42% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 52.79%
    Heidenheim 23.58%
    Draw 23.62%
St PauliDrawHeidenheim
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.48% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 23.58%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Heidenheim

St Pauli
41.1%
Draw
18.9%
Heidenheim
40.0%
90
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Heidenheim
0-1
St Pauli
Hartel (41')
Oct 1, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 18, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
St Pauli
1-0
Heidenheim
Kyereh (67')
Makienok (33'), Beifus (51'), Vasilj (90')

Kuhlwetter (25'), Burnic (43'), Geipl (56')
Oct 16, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Heidenheim
2-4
St Pauli
Mohr (4'), Kleindienst (85')
Kuhlwetter (38'), Kleindienst (68'), Theuerkauf (83')
Burgstaller (55', 60'), Dittgen (56', 81')
Irvine (67'), Medic (75')
Jan 31, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Heidenheim
3-4
St Pauli
Kleindienst (15', 77'), Kuhlwetter (48')
Thomalla (32'), Burnic (70'), Busch (73'), Mainka (75'), Kuhlwetter (90+4')
Burgstaller (3'), Kyereh (30'), Ole Becker (72'), Zalazar (87')
Paqarada (42'), Smith (56')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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