Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | AC Milan |
56.65% (![]() | 21.11% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.74% (![]() | 36.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.62% (![]() | 58.38% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.25% | 12.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% (![]() | 38.99% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% (![]() | 29.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% (![]() | 65.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 4.07% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.78% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 22.24% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs AC Milan

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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