Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16

Mar 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Salah (71'), Mane (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Liverpool midfielder Thiago Alcantara pictured on January 4, 2021

Thiago Alcantara: 'We must translate Champions League form to league'

Reds are through to the Champions League last eight.

Mar 11, 09:41

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on March 7, 2021

Jurgen Klopp: 'We cannot think about winning Champions League'

The Reds reached the quarter-finals after beating Bundesliga side RB Leipzig 4-0 on aggregate.

Mar 10, 23:35

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	RB Leipzig
45.86%	22.8%	31.35%

Both teams to score 64.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46%

36.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32%

58.69%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6%

16.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94%

46.06%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85%

23.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97%

57.04%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 45.86%

RB Leipzig 31.35%

Draw 22.79%

Liverpool	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.53% Total : 45.86%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 7.35% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.35%