Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Sanusi (69'), Galeno (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Porto's Zaidu Sanusi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 4, 2022

Porto edge past 10-man Bayer Leverkusen to claim first win in Group B

Porto claim their first victory in Group B of the Champions League after beating 10-man Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 at the Estadio do Dragao this evening.

Oct 4, 20:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Braga
Friday, September 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Bayern 4-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
49.62% ( -0.03)	23.11% ( 0)	27.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.36%

40.63% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

-0)

63.02% (

-0)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

-0.01)

16.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

-0.02)

46.35% (

0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

0.02)

27.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

0.02)

63.45% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Porto 49.62%

Bayer Leverkusen 27.26%

Draw 23.11%

Porto	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.62%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.26%