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Champions League | League Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Epet Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Sparta Prague
0 - 6
Atletico


Pesek (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alvarez (15', 59'), Llorente (43'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (85', 89')
Barrios (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sparta Prague 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Sparta are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico, who have not been at their best in the competition this season. However, we are expecting Simeone's side to find a way to secure all three points on Tuesday, which would certainly leave them in a much more comfortable position in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawAtletico Madrid
28.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 25.44% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 46.23% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)50.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.030999999999999 0.03)72.16% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)68.49% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.043000000000006 0.04)21.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.068000000000005 0.07)54.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 28.33%
    Atletico Madrid 46.22%
    Draw 25.44%
Sparta PragueDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.22%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Atletico

Sparta Prague
8.2%
Draw
15.7%
Atletico Madrid
76.0%
267
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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