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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Roberts (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeo (64'), Ng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Basing this on each team's last respective performances, one team will be motivated and the other less so. With that in mind, we expect the Clarets to cruise to a comfortable win, crowning their promotion campaign in the style in which it has been achieved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
69.01% (1.17 1.17) 19.05% (-0.385 -0.38) 11.94% (-0.787 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (-0.239 -0.24)45.75% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.227 -0.23)68.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.256 0.26)12.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.542 0.54)37.75% (-0.544 -0.54)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-1.465 -1.47)47.61% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-1.11 -1.11)82.94% (1.109 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69%
    Cardiff City 11.94%
    Draw 19.05%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.105 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cardiff City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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