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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
43.96% (![]() | 24.76% (![]() | 31.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% (![]() | 45.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% (![]() | 68.14% (![]() |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% (![]() | 20.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% (![]() | 53.63% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% (![]() | 27.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% (![]() | 63.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.11% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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