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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Watford logo

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Watford

Bishop (25')
Bishop (27'), Aouchiche (44'), Botts (64'), Lang (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dwomoh (53'), Louza (67'), (90+8')
Keben (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-5 Portsmouth
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Watford

Portsmouth will be full of confidence following Friday's impressive win over Norwich, and we think that they will back up that result by claiming a narrow victory in Monday's contest, especially as they have won 10 of their last 15 home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
PortsmouthDrawWatford
45.02% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.36% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.62% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.029 -0.03)71.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)21.84% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)55.07% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)66.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 45.01%
    Watford 29.62%
    Draw 25.35%
PortsmouthDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Watford

Portsmouth
82.9%
Draw
7.3%
Watford
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Watford
2-1
Portsmouth
Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')
Baah (90+8')
Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Watford
3-0
Portsmouth
Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Watford
Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')
Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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