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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
32.44% (-0.501 -0.5)27.13% (-0.172 -0.17)40.42% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.558 0.56)55.37% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.455 0.45)76.57% (-0.456 -0.46)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.63500000000001 0.64)26.87% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.827 0.83)62.18% (-0.826 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Reading 32.44%
    Watford 40.42%
    Draw 27.13%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
27.0%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Reading
2-0
Watford
Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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