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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
37.22% (![]() | 25.01% (![]() | 37.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% (![]() | 45.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% (![]() | 68% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% (![]() | 58.48% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% (![]() | 23.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% (![]() | 58.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 8.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.41% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.78% |