Club Leon
CONCACAF Champions League | Final | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Leon
Los Angeles FC

Club Leon
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Tesillo (8', 8'), Mena (45+5' pen., 45+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bouanga (90+6', 90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Club Leon and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Leon in this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawLos Angeles FC
43.72% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)24.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)31.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.45% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.82% (0.012 0.01)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.012 -0.01)52.9% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)26.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.02% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 43.73%
    Los Angeles FC 31.77%
    Draw 24.49%
Club LeonDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.73%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Club Leon vs Los Angeles

Club Leon
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Los Angeles FC
36.4%
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