Real Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona logo

Real Madrid
0 - 1
Barcelona

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona record a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final at Bernabeu on Thursday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
42.17% (3.767 3.77)24.52% (-0.212 -0.21)33.3% (-3.557 -3.56)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (0.376 0.38)44.02% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.365 0.37)66.4% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (1.991 1.99)20.96% (-1.993 -1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (3.018 3.02)53.72% (-3.022 -3.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-1.835 -1.83)25.6% (1.832 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-2.568 -2.57)60.48% (2.565 2.57)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 42.17%
    Barcelona 33.3%
    Draw 24.51%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.437 0.44)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.356 0.36)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.484 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.514 0.51)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.175 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.266 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.651 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.434 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid
74.2%
Draw
10.5%
Barcelona
15.3%
658
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7pm
Final
Real Madrid
1-3
Barcelona
Benzema (90+3')
Mendy (32'), Valverde (82')
Gavi (33'), Lewandowski (45'), Pedri (69')
Christensen (49'), Araujo (68')
Oct 16, 2022 3.15pm
Real Madrid
3-1
Barcelona
Benzema (12'), Valverde (35'), Rodrygo (90+1' pen.)
Junior (30')
Torres (83')
Jul 24, 2022 4am
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona

Kroos (22'), Modric (63'), Camavinga (82'), Vazquez (88')
Aubameyang (29', 51'), Araujo (38'), Torres (47')
de Jong (26'), Busquets (31'), Alba (74'), Gonzalez (88')
Jan 12, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Barcelona
2-3
Real Madrid
De Jong (41'), Fati (83')
Torres (23'), Alves (51')
Junior (25'), Benzema (72'), Valverde (98')
Casemiro (75'), Valverde (99')
Build-up
Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Sports Mole looks at Karim Benzema's record against Barcelona ahead of Real Madrid's clash with the Catalan side in the Copa del Rey semi-finals.
Mar 2, 11:56
Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
Barcelona will be missing Robert Lewandowski, Pedri and Ousmane Dembele for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Mar 1, 14:39
Rodrygo scores from the spot for Real Madrid on November 2, 2022
Rodrygo returns to the Real Madrid squad for Thursday's Copa del Rey clash with Barcelona, but David Alaba and Ferland Mendy both miss out.
Mar 1, 14:19
Rodrygo scores from the spot for Real Madrid on November 2, 2022
Real Madrid could have Rodrygo back in their squad for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 28, 20:18
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring against Liverpool on February 21, 2023
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 28, 17:37
Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Feb 28, 17:37
Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 12, 2022
Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski to miss El Clasico with hamstring injury
Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski will miss Thursday's El Clasico with Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey due to a hamstring injury.
Feb 27, 18:56
Pedri celebrates scoring for Barcelona on October 9, 2022
Barcelona team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Feb 27, 08:30
David Alaba comes off injured for Real Madrid on February 21, 2023
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Barcelona
Sports Mole rounds up all Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg with Barcelona.
Feb 27, 08:17
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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