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Copa Libertadores

Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Rosario

Scarpa (39'), Paulinho (77')
Arana (29'), Jemerson (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malcorra (74')
Campaz (37'), O'Connor (81'), Mallo (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 1-4 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawRosario Central
65.79% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)21.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.56% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.28% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01)54.66% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)45.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.92% (0.042000000000002 0.04)52.08% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (0.026999999999999 0.03)86.06% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 65.78%
    Rosario Central 12.56%
    Draw 21.65%
Atletico MineiroDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 15.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.57% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 65.78%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 12.56%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Rosario

Atletico Mineiro
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Rosario Central
0.0%
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