Libertad
2 - 2
Alianza Lima

Cardozo (45+5' pen.), Ramirez (63')
Jacquet (40'), Cardozo (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Guerrero (28'), Castillo (42')
Garces (45+3'), Lagos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Alianza Lima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Libertad
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Alianza Lima

Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Alianza Lima
40.81% ( 2.26)	27.36% ( 0.1)	31.84% ( -2.36)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Club Libertad	Draw	Alianza Lima
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.59) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.84%

Libertad2 - 2Alianza Lima