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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López
Penarol

Colon
2 - 1
Penarol

Miguel Rodriguez (31'), Farias (90')
Delgado (51'), Bernardi (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ceppelini (69')
Arias (80')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colon and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colon

Last Six:
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Colon
Saturday, June 4 at 4pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Colon vs. Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawPenarol
47.08%28.7%24.23%
Both teams to score 41.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.82%64.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.69%83.31%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.01%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76%43.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51%79.49%
Score Analysis
    Colon 47.08%
    Penarol 24.23%
    Draw 28.69%
ColonDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 15.35%
2-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 8.31%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 11.89%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 9.97%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: Colon vs Penarol

Colon
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Penarol
40.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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