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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio CAP
Estudiantes

Huachipato
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Martinez (81')
Rodriguez (21')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Correa (42')
Palacios (34'), Zapiola (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Huachipato and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Huachipato

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Huachipato 0-3 San Lorenzo
Thursday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Estudiantes

All competitions
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, March 29 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
HuachipatoDrawEstudiantes
40.08% (-0.628 -0.63)28.02% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)31.9% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 47.14% (0.338 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (0.321 0.32)58.79% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69% (0.251 0.25)79.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)28.69% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.249 -0.25)64.51% (0.244 0.24)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.65600000000001 0.66)33.89% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (0.702 0.7)70.56% (-0.708 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Huachipato 40.08%
    Estudiantes 31.9%
    Draw 28.02%
HuachipatoDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.14% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.08%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.9%

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