Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Goias

Santa Fe
1 - 2
Goias

Rodallega (72', 72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Guilherme (24', 24'), Santos Soares (90+5'), Santos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santa Fe and Goias, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-0 Universitario
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Goias

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Goias
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.

Result
Santa FeDrawGoias
58.07% (-0.21 -0.21)24.41% (0.084 0.08)17.53% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 43.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-0.121 -0.12)56.4% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-0.096 -0.1)77.41% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)19.31% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.208 -0.21)51.07% (0.21 0.21)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.04% (0.089999999999996 0.09)45.96% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.31% (0.067 0.07)81.69% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Santa Fe 58.06%
    Goias 17.53%
    Draw 24.4%
Santa FeDrawGoias
1-0 @ 14.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.53%

How you voted: Santa Fe vs Goias

Santa Fe
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Goias
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Goias
0-0
Santa Fe
rhs 2.0
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