COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 5, 2023 at 5pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

South Africa
1 - 1
Namibia

Human (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kambindu (43')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Namibia.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Namibia

All competitions

Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Namibia
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.33%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Namibia
60.66% ( 0.2)	25.06% ( 0.35)	14.29% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 36.13% (

-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.11% (

-1.82)

62.89% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61% (

-1.34)

82.38% (

1.34)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13% (

-0.66)

20.87% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

-1.04)

53.56% (

1.04)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.66% (

-1.93)

54.34% (

1.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.51% (

-1.21)

87.48% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

South Africa 60.65%

Namibia 14.29%

Draw 25.04%

South Africa	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 17.76% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.65%	0-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.74) 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.29% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.29%