Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Henri Desgrange
Brest logo

La Roche
0 - 1
Brest


Ndiaye (35'), Khouma (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajorque (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between La Roche and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

La Roche

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Last Game: Orleans 1-1 La Roche (2-4 pen.)
Friday, November 29 at 6pm in Coupe de France
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Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for La Roche had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a La Roche win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
La RocheDrawBrest
8.02% (0.0159 0.02)14.12% (0.061 0.06)77.86% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.38% (-0.261 -0.26)34.62% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.44% (-0.292 -0.29)56.56% (0.288 0.29)
La Roche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (-0.145 -0.15)48.01% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (-0.108 -0.11)83.24% (0.105 0.11)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)7.19% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.197 -0.2)26.11% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    La Roche 8.03%
    Brest 77.84%
    Draw 14.12%
La RocheDrawBrest
1-0 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.03%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.045 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 14.12%
0-2 @ 11.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 77.84%

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