Czech Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Lucni ulice

Plzen
3 - 2
Jablonec

Jirka (22' pen.), Mosquera (38'), Vydra (46')
Durosinmi (36'), Mosquera (40'), Sulc (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Krulich (30'), Chramosta (34')
Latal (45+1'), Hurtado (84'), Kratochvil (90+9')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Viktoria Plzen and FK Baumit Jablonec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Astana 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Jablonec 2-0 Slovacko
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
66.2% (-0.649 -0.65)19.34% (0.206 0.21)14.46% (0.446 0.45)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.492 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)41.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.048999999999999 0.05)63.55% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)11.58% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.45% (-0.347 -0.35)36.54% (0.348 0.35)
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.664 0.66)40.8% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (0.59 0.59)77.38% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 66.19%
    FK Baumit Jablonec 14.46%
    Draw 19.34%
Viktoria PlzenDrawFK Baumit Jablonec
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.89% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.087 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.34%
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.46%

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