Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Collins (26', 90+1')
Forrester (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graydon (52')
Hughes (24'), Patterson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
57.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)20.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)21.57% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.4% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)36.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)58.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.11699999999999 0.12)29.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.14100000000001 0.14)65.98% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.53%
    Fleetwood Town 21.57%
    Draw 20.9%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fleetwood
0-2
Bolton

Wiredu (36'), Asamoah (82')
Charles (49'), Adeboyejo (83')
Thomason (41')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bolton
3-1
Fleetwood
Adeboyejo (3', 14', 37')
Thomason (28'), Charles (45+1'), Ashworth (86')
Ross Evatt (11'), Charles (67')
Earl (90+3')
Johnston (10'), Broom (47'), Omochere (54'), Vela (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
2-0
Fleetwood
Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Mendes Gomes (16')
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
OSZAR »